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Seeking Alpha 2025-06-19 13:57:00

Bitcoin Price Trapped Between Key EMAs As Volume And RSI Reflect Market Indecision (Technical Analysis)

Summary Bitcoin consolidates as short-term EMAs compress the price into a narrow range. Volume weakens on Binance, aligning with neutral RSI to confirm indecision. Key breakout zones identified as the market awaits trigger for directional move. By Sholanke Dele Bitcoin price ( BTC-USD ) has been locked in a tight range over the past week, trading between the well-defined resistance at $108,900 and support at $103,000. As of the European session today, June 19, Bitcoin is hovering around $104,700, barely moving from its earlier levels in the Asian session. This consolidation reflects growing market indecision, particularly as price trades below short-term resistance and above firm support zones. The 20-day EMA currently stands at $105,790, just overhead from Bitcoin’s present level, while the 50-day EMA sits closer to the lower boundary at $103,000. This configuration is compressing price into a narrow band, forming a technical squeeze. The 50-day EMA reinforces the recent support level, increasing the likelihood that $103,000 holds firm in the near term unless significant momentum shifts. BTC price dynamics (May - June 2025). Source: TradingView Volume data adds another layer to the picture. Binance’s spot volume on Bitcoin declined yesterday compared to the last three trading days. This weakening in participation indicates a lack of conviction from both bulls and bears. It also aligns with the Relative Strength Index on the daily timeframe, which is parked near neutral territory. The RSI reading reflects a market that is yet to favour either direction, further validating the range-bound structure. Bitcoin technical squeeze continues amid rising Middle-East tensions On the 4-hour chart, a stack of EMA layers sits above current price levels. This implies any bullish breakout will face multiple layers of technical resistance, which could slow upward moves unless volume expands meaningfully. However, a successful breakout through this EMA cluster will likely test $108,900 and, if that level is cleared, extend to $110,500. A move toward the all-time high at $112,000 may follow if the broader market turns risk-on. On the downside, if Bitcoin fails to defend the 50-day EMA and drops below $103,000, immediate attention will shift to $101,000. This level serves as the next key support before the psychologically significant $100,000 threshold, which could trigger wider selling if breached. Until then, the price action suggests Bitcoin is in consolidation, caught between opposing technical forces and a muted sentiment environment as traders observe the conflict in the Middle-East. A decisive move outside this EMA boundary will set the tone for the next directional trend. Bitcoin stalled near $103,000 as compressed EMA blocked further upside . Fading volume and neutral sentiment pointed to weak conviction in the recovery. Original Post Editor's Note: The summary bullets for this article were chosen by Seeking Alpha editors.

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