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ZyCrypto 2025-01-07 12:21:38

“Brace for Volatility” – Analyst Predicts Bitcoin’s Wild Moves Ahead of Trump Inauguration & FOMC

“Brace for Volatility” – Analyst Predicts Bitcoin’s Wild Moves Ahead of Trump Inauguration & FOMC

Bitcoin (BTC) has been on a wild ride during the first week of 2025, with the price oscillating between $95,000 and $101,000. Due to several macro events, analysts anticipate that the king coin could be set for more volatility in the coming weeks. In its latest post, 10x Research stated that despite the bullishness seen at the start of the year, the uptrend would be slight compared to during the first quarter of 2024. The analysis stated that one of the factors that could stir a spike in volatility was the inflation data slated for release in mid-January and the inauguration of Donald Trump later this month. “We anticipate a positive start to the year, followed by a slight pullback leading into the CPI data release on January 15. A favorable inflation print could reignite optimism, fueling a rally into the Trump inauguration on January 20,” the research stated. The US Federal Reserve Could Sway Bitcoin Prices Several events related to the US Federal Reserve could result in changes in BTC prices. On January 8, the institution will release the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) minutes for the December meeting. During the last meeting of 2024, the Fed trimmed interest rates by 25 basis points but also took a slightly hawkish stance by highlighting that inflation remained a concern. Therefore, if the meeting minutes reveal that the inflation risk was still high, it could cause price volatility. The Fed is also expected to have its next FOMC meeting on January 29, and most investors agree that interest rates will remain unchanged. Per the CME FedWatch Tool, 93% of investors anticipate that rates will remain between 4.25% and 5%. (Source: CME FedWatch Tool) “The primary risk remains the Federal Reserve’s communication, especially if renewed concerns about inflation emerge. We anticipate lower inflation this year, though it may take some time for the Federal Reserve to recognize and respond to this shift formally,” 10x Research noted. While Bitcoin is often touted as a hedge against inflation, it often tends to react whenever the level of inflation rises. Therefore, the king coin could record volatility later this month. Despite these concerns, Bitcoin is recording a strong recovery, and it has crossed above $100,000 again amid rising institutional demand from spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs). BTC traded at $100,765 at press time after a 1.29% gain in 24 hours.

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