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AMB Crypto 2025-05-16 10:00:10

Dogecoin’s 14% drop could be its biggest bear trap yet – Here’s why

DOGE’s sharp correction has reignited its appeal as a high-volatility, short-term play. The memecoin may be quietly setting the stage for a bear trap. Dogecoin [DOGE] is barking back into the spotlight. After soaring to a three-month high of $0.259 on the 11th of May, it’s pulled back nearly 14% in under a week, drawing attention from opportunistic traders. Over $14.17 million in long liquidations suggests bears are currently in control, aggressively hunting overleveraged longs. Still, the sharp correction may signal more than just weakness. Zooming in, this swift drawdown could be a classic bear trap setup as DOGE reloads for its next volatility spike. From bark to bite: DOGE shakes out the weak hands DOGE’s sharp double-digit pullback comes down to a mix of macro headwinds and on-chain dynamics. At the macro level, risk capital is playing musical chairs, flowing back into stocks and putting crypto in a “pause and digest” mode. Meanwhile, Bitcoin [BTC] is stuck in a tight range, keeping DOGE on a short leash. As AMBCrypto notes, this is a classic choppy setup. But where there’s volatility, there’s opportunity, and traders seem to be playing right along. On the 14th of May, DOGE’s new address count surged to 311,811, a six-month high, signaling renewed retail interest amid the shakeout. Source: Glassnode Additionally, Ali Martinez adds that DOGE’s structural demand remains rock solid, reinforcing AMBCrypto’s thesis: The memecoin still has plenty of bite despite the recent dip. Market psychology matters here. With conviction this strong, a retest of the $0.20 support looks off the table. Once macro FUD calms down, DOGE is primed to charge back toward $0.30, with FOMO ready to kick in and ignite a fresh rally. Bears on thin ice According to Coinglass, DOGE’s Open Interest (OI) ripped to $3.70 billion after reclaiming the $0.25 mark — levels last seen in early January. But less than a week later, OI bled out $1.05 billion, pointing to a textbook deleveraging event , putting pressure on DOGE’s short-term supply. Still, Binance’s DOGE/USDT order book reveals 75.8% long account dominance, signaling that bulls are reloading rather than retreating. On the flip side, aggregated exchange data reflects 52.51% short dominance — a classic overcrowded bearish positioning. Source: Coinglass This skew mirrors broader market FUD. However, if sentiment snaps bullish, it sets up the perfect storm for a short squeeze — with DOGE primed to capitalize on a bear trap rebound. Consequently, Dogecoin’s next move could catch everyone off guard — turning recent shakeouts into serious shake-ups. The current dip? Think of it as a golden entry point, with $0.30 firmly back on investors’ radar.

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